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March 11, 2022
Risk and Profit Online Mini-Conference Presentations
https://www.agmanager.info/beef‐cattle‐outlook‐6
Futures Market Implied Impacts
CME Contract … Feb 24 to Mar 9, % Change
Corn
Spot/Cash Market Impacts
Date 5‐Area Wtd Avg … Early Weaned Pigs (Cash) Corn
Markets Often Operate Like A Pendulum Consider 2019 Holcomb Event
Higher Grain Price Impacts: Primarily A Supply‐Side Story• …
August 16, 2011
35.5 Million Head
Livestock Marketing Information Center
Data Source … Head
C-N-37
07/22/11
-4.5 %
Livestock Marketing Information Center
Data Source … Head
1938-49
1949-58
1958-67
1967-79
1979-90
1990-04
2004-11
C-N-40
07/22/11Livestock Marketing Information Center
Data …
December 1, 2015
Beef Cattle
Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 12/09/2015 … combination of weather and market forces impact on-ranch cost … cattle each year from auction markets without knowledge of source …
General Sessions
researcher. In 2006 he
received a "Publication of Enduring Quality" award … analysis, and commodity markets.
Impact of Chinese Policy Reforms
on US Agriculture
Presented … Possible impact on US exports and markets
China‐US Comparison
Poultry Density …
August 4, 2020
Monthly Meat Demand Monitor (Prior Years)
Monitor
Willingness to Pay & Projected Market Share
RETAIL
Ribeye
Steak
Ground … 7.20 $7.52 $8.22 $1.98
Market Share 7% 23% 12% 7% 25% 3 … 7.48 $7.71 $8.80 $2.19
Market Share 7% 23% 14% 8% 27% 2 …
September 4, 2020
Monthly Meat Demand Monitor (Prior Years)
Monitor
Willingness to Pay & Projected Market Share
RETAIL
Ribeye
Steak
Ground … 7.48 $7.71 $8.80 $2.19
Market Share 7% 23% 14% 8% 27% 2 … 6.99 $7.82 $8.31 $1.36
Market Share 9% 21% 13% 7% 24% 3 …
October 2, 2020
Monthly Meat Demand Monitor (Prior Years)
Monitor
Willingness to Pay & Projected Market Share
RETAIL
Ribeye
Steak
Ground … 6.99 $7.82 $8.31 $1.36
Market Share 9% 21% 13% 7% 24% 3 … 7.13 $8.60 $8.29 $1.58
Market Share 7% 21% 12% 8% 26% 4 …
November 9, 2020
Monthly Meat Demand Monitor (Prior Years)
Monitor
Willingness to Pay & Projected Market Share
RETAIL
Ribeye
Steak
Ground … 7.13 $8.60 $8.29 $1.58
Market Share 7% 21% 12% 8% 26% 4 … 7.11 $7.51 $7.72 $1.42
Market Share 9% 24% 13% 7% 24% 3 …
December 1, 2020
Monthly Meat Demand Monitor (Prior Years)
Monitor
Willingness to Pay & Projected Market Share
RETAIL
Ribeye
Steak
Ground … 7.11 $7.51 $7.72 $1.42
Market Share 9% 24% 13% 7% 24% 3 … 7.24 $7.40 $8.39 $1.27
Market Share 8% 22% 13% 8% 25% 3 …
December 28, 2020
Monthly Meat Demand Monitor (Prior Years)
Monitor
Willingness to Pay & Projected Market Share
RETAIL
Ribeye
Steak
Ground … 7.24 $7.40 $8.39 $1.27
Market Share 8% 22% 13% 8% 25% 3 … 6.99 $7.61 $8.47 $1.66
Market Share 7% 24% 14% 8% 24% 3 …