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2 - Macroeconomic Implications for Agriculture

August 1, 2025 Breakout Sessions

Real 1‐Year Interest Rate (right axis) Factors impacting the Fed’s decision on interest rates • Labor market• Softening?• Inflation• … Will they raise prices?• Market expectations• CME 87% chance rate cut in September 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 2021 ‐01‐ 01 2021 ‐03‐ 01 2021 ‐05‐ 01 2021 ‐07‐ 01 2021 ‐09‐ 01 2021 ‐11‐ 01 2022 ‐01‐ 01 2022 ‐03‐ 01 2022 ‐05‐ 01 2022 ‐07‐ 01 2022 ‐09‐ 01 2022 ‐11‐ 01 2023 ‐01‐ 01 2023 ‐03‐ 01 2023 ‐05‐ 01 2023 ‐07‐ 01 2023 ‐09‐ 01 2023 ‐11‐ 01 2024 ‐01‐ 01 2024 ‐03‐ 01 2024 ‐05‐ 01 2024 ‐07‐ 01 2024 ‐09‐ 01 2024 ‐11‐ 01 2025 ‐01‐ 01 2025 ‐03‐ 01 2025 ‐05‐ 01 Federal Reserve’s Inflation and Unemployment Rate Metrics Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of Labor Statistics The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate is at target level for full employment, but above the target for stable prices. PCE Core Inflation Target = 2% Unemployment Rate Target = 4.2% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2001 …

Impact of Indemnity Expectations on Producer Biosecurity Effort

May 15, 2018

Summary • Better alignment of public & private livestock disease … risk, mixed between private & public incentives • Role of indemnity … than 3% chance Enhanced Market Access Yes Yes Enhanced …

Chinese Beef Consumption Trends: Implications for Future Trading Partners

April 1, 2011 Industry Economics & Trade

regulatory environments. This publication provides an overview of the … its fourth largest export market, South Korea. In terms of … not priorities in open-air markets where the majority of beef …

Insurance Options for Cow-Calf Producers

September 1, 2021 Livestock Insurance, 2021 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations

Many insurance options for cow‐calf producers, most protect against feed/forage price risk and market price risk• Many options are “index based” • … Future work…. Livestock Risk Protection (LRP) •Protects against declines in (expected) market prices•CME index for feeder cattle prices and AMS for fed cattle• …

The “EIDL Trap” For Farm Borrowers

July 19, 2021 Ag Law Issues

Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 07/19/2021 … Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 07/19/2021 … Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 07/19/2021 …

Livestock Confinement Buildings and Self-Employment Tax

August 30, 2021 Ag Law Issues

Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 08/30/2021 … that produced, processed and marketed chicken products bought breeder … Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 08/30/2021 …

Federal Farm Programs: Organizational Structure Matters - 3-Part Series

August 15, 2022 Ag Law Issues

Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 08/15/2022 … designed to ensure that the public taxpayer dollars flow to … Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC), marketing loan gains, and loan deficiency …

Chapter 12 Bankruptcy – Proposing a Reorganization Plan in Good Faith

February 23, 2023 Ag Law Issues

Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 02/23/2023 … planting the 2023 crop, if markets turn downward, the result … will continue to dominate ag markets throughout 2023. In addition …

Margin Protection Insurance - Basics and Considerations for the 2024 Crop Year

September 6, 2023 Crop Insurance Papers

Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 09/06/2023 … Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 09/06/2023 … prices are based on futures markets (national prices), with …

A Preliminary Estimate of 2019 Enterprise Profitability

February 6, 2020 Farm Profitability, KFMA Research

Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 02/04/2020 … how KFMA farmers may have marketed their grain. Estimates may … Agricultural Economics Extension Publication 02/04/2020 …

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