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September 6, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
… U.S. corn production, it seems likely that a seasonal harvest price low in
may occur in during the harvest time‐period, i.e., September‐November 2018.
However, this year, from November 2018 through January 2019, the “narrative consensus” of the corn
market will likely have a greater focus on corn planting progress and early season development in Argentina and
Brazil – particularly in tandem with a focus on similar reports about the acreage and progress of their soybean
crops. It is possible if not likely that news about the pace of usage of U.S. domestic corn and other feedgrains
will have the attention of the U.S. corn markets. The impact of this news will be exacerbated IF U.S. corn
exports are spurred on to higher levels by worries about potentially lower South American corn supplies for
export in spring 2019. Then from late winter into spring 2019 U.S. corn markets will be simultaneously paying
attention to the pace of U.S. corn domestic and export usage and to 2019 U.S. corn planting prospects. The corn
market will likely then be driven by 2019 U.S. corn production prospects from what remains of spring through
Summer and early fall 2019.
During this anticipated “normal seasonal” price pattern for corn in “new crop” MY 2018/19, U.S. producers
will be making marketing decisions under conditions of “uncertainty” as profitable seasonal pricing
opportunities present themselves. For those with a “risk averse” perspective on corn price risk management,
there will be a tendency to price corn “earlier” and in “greater quantities” to avoid the possibility of being forced
to sell at lower prices later on. This “early action” approach contrasts to those of producers who are less
worried (i.e., “averse”) about being in what is essentially a “speculative storage” position in the corn market –
holding unpriced corn in storage longer while waiting for the possibility of a better price.
The key point is that the likelihood exists of there being greater than normal price strength in U.S. corn
markets through the winter and spring 2019 months – given the likelihood of more South American crop area
being planted into soybeans to the exclusion of corn and the strong domestic demand base for the crop.
…
January 2, 2018
Beef Cattle, KFMA Research
of 2012-2016 Kansas Farm Management Association
Cow-Calf Enterprise … enrolled in the Kansas Farm Management Association (KFMA) between … of 2011-2015 Kansas Farm Management Association Cow-Calf Enterprise.” …
March 1, 2016
Land Buying and Valuing, Land Use Value Research
expenses, production costs, management fee, and
landlord’s share … Department of Agriculture’s Risk Management Agency (RMA).
The harvested … Kansas State University Farm Management Guides. Costs
for years …
June 30, 2016
data from the Kansas
Farm Management Association (KFMA), a “Relative … Department of MF-2583 Farm Management
Agricultural Economics
Kansas … machinery section of the farm management
area) that can be used to …
October 3, 2016
2016 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
Why diversify?
• Ways to manage risk?
Department of Agricultural … Economies of scale• Agronomic• Management
Department of Agricultural … Why diversify?
• Ways to manage risk?
Department of Agricultural …
February 29, 2008
larger facilities
Management and age of facilities may … of facilities may be more Management and age of facilities may … wind direction
Size/management interface Size …
March 30, 2017
Financial Management, KFMA Research
versus an affordable track.
Managing Machinery Expenses relies … county
yields.
Income Tax Management is just as important during … members to learn critical management skills, however the business …
April 24, 2017
Farm Machinery Papers
expense area that farmers can
manage directly and that amounts … calculation is
depreciation (management depreciation and
not tax … records of the
Kansas Farm Management Association
(KFMA). Forty …
November 12, 2015
2015 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
Specialist, Agriculture & Business Management, CSU Extension
RiskManagement Decision for Tomorrow2015 … Erickson & Widmar, 2015
Managing Farm-Level Data to Assist …
February 27, 2018
2018 Farm Bill Meetings Presentations
North Central Extension Risk Management Education Center
Department … agecon.unl.edu/lubben
North Central Extension Risk Management Education Center – ncerme.org
E-mail … structural practices
New management practices
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