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December 2, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
marketing year, corn futures prices are unlikely to rise to $4.50‐$5.00+ by
spring 2016 unless larger than expected corn usage occurs in response to lo … rain prices have resulted in lower input costs and improved profitability for U.S. and
Foreign livestock feeding and bioenergy users, leading to increased feedgrain usage. Over time these factor …
September 6, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
orld wheat exports with 170.7 mmt in the “current” marketing year – up from 170.6 mmt
last year, and up from 164.4 mmt two years ago, 3) World wheat ending stocks at a record high 252.8 … …
For a perspective on how historically large World total wheat stocks and World wheat percent stocks‐to‐use
are, the 34‐ …
February 20, 2019
Grain Marketing Presentations
2017 Crops
• Large Corn Stocks are limiting Feedgrain Price$’s
• … Supplies
4) U.S. Corn Usage in “Current” MY 2018/19 … Together by Category
End Stocks
Exports
Ethanol
Livestock …
February 4, 2016
Grain Marketing Presentations
Weather & Increased Grain Stocks
4) Chinese AgriculturalStocks Policy – Feedgrain impacts
5 … China Soybean Use, Imports, Stocks
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January 11, 2018
Farming for the Future Presentations, Grain Marketing Presentations
2017)
• Large U.S. & World Stocks continue to limit Wheat Price$’s … in MY 2016/17)
U.S. Wheat Stocks…..
• All U.S. Wheat: “Large”Stocks
o EndStocks 2017/18 960 mln bu (1.181 …
January 22, 2018
Farming for the Future Presentations, Grain Marketing Presentations
2017)
• Large U.S. & World Stocks continue to limit Wheat Price$’s … MY 2016/17)
5
U.S. Wheat Stocks…..
• All U.S. Wheat: “Large”Stocks
o EndStocks 2017/18 989 mln bu (1.181 …
November 15, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
… … and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Report projected that “new crop” 2018/19
marketing year (MY) ending stocks – which began on Septe …
March 25, 2019
Grain Market Outlook
… lack Sea Region countries to sell down their domestic reserve stocks
to maintain their export … ould occur in “new crop” MY 2019/20 – which will begin on June
1, 2019. The risk of tightening stocks is that these countries …
February 5, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
… n crop was less than pre‐report trade expectations, as were projected
ending stocks for the 2013/14 marketing … DA lowered its forecast of “new crop” MY 2013/14 total supplies (14.781 bb –
down 61 mb) while raising total use (13.150 bb – up 100 mb) due to expectations of higher livestock feeding
and ethanol use, and lower non‐ethanol food, seed and industrial use. Taken together, these changes led to
projected MY 2013/14 ending stocks of 1.631 bb – down 16 …
December 28, 2017
Grain Market Outlook
ort projections sharply – up 50
million bushels (mb) to 260 mb for this marketing year ending August 31, 2018. And in a textbook example of
economic “crowding out” – this strong foreign export demand for U.S. grain sorghum has raised domestic
prices and is causing a projected shifting of usage away from U.S. domestic …