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September 25, 2014
Commodity Program Papers
change projected yields and prices to see different outcomes.” … change and should
change the price and yield assumptions to … probability
distributions for price and yields.
The OSU-KSU …
January 26, 2018
Price Risk Management
1
PROSPECTIVE FED CATTLE MARKET RISK
Justin Bina and Ted C. Schroeder1
Kansas State University, Department of Agricultural Economics – January 2018
Live Cattle Risk
Cattle feeding involves substantial risk that includes animal performance, production cost, and output price
risk. Over time, the mo …
March 20, 2015
Commodity Program Papers
computer model’s forecasted prices. If the forecastedprices used in the
computer analysis … forward contracted, minimum price
contracted, has a hedge … there is little down-side
price risk. Some farmers may have …
October 1, 2018
2018 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
Time period characterized by high prices and low yield
• High Crop Insurance Indemnity Payments
• … Economics|
Non‐irrigated Corn Yield & Price, 2015‐17
92.0
101.1
105.2
$3.07
$3.13
$3.06
3.00
3.02
3.04
3.06
3.08
3.10
3.12
3.14
0
20
40
60
80
100
High 1/3 …
August 1, 2021
General Sessions
Feeder Steer PriceYear Steer Price from Southern PlainsQuarter … OCT
$ Per Cwt.
MED. & LRG. #1 STEER CALF PRICES500‐600 Pounds, Southern Plains, Weekly
Avg. 2015‐19 … OCT
$ Per Cwt.
MED. & LRG. #1 STEER CALF PRICES500‐600 Pounds, Southern Plains, Weekly
Avg. 2015‐19 …
2021 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
Feeder Steer PriceYear Steer Price from Southern PlainsQuarter … OCT
$ Per Cwt.
MED. & LRG. #1 STEER CALF PRICES500‐600 Pounds, Southern Plains, Weekly
Avg. 2015‐19 … OCT
$ Per Cwt.
MED. & LRG. #1 STEER CALF PRICES500‐600 Pounds, Southern Plains, Weekly
Avg. 2015‐19 …
August 31, 2012
Risk Management Strategies
1984 APH
3 1991 MVP/Harvest Price3. 1991 MVP/HarvestPrice
4. 1996 CRC/RP
5. The ARPA … only 2 variables in revenue, price & yield.
2. All USDA risk … more efficient than insuring price and yield separately
44B …
November 20, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
and Estimates (WASDE) report on November
10, 2014, U.S. wheat market prices have generally responded … … Summary report.
USDA U.S. Wheat Forecast for “New Crop” MY 2014/15: The USDA projected lower 2014 U.S. wheat
production, reduced wheat total use, an increase in ending stocks and % stocks‐to‐use, and lower prices in
“new crop” MY 20 …
May 14, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
and Demand Estimates (WASDE)
reports on May 9, 2014, U.S. wheat market prices initially responded negati … … arket” and limiting U.S. and foreign wheat feeding.
USDA U.S. Wheat Forecast for “New Crop” MY 2014/15: The USDA projected smaller U.S. wheat production,
reduced usage, an increase in U.S. wheat stocks‐to‐use, and higher prices in “new crop” MY 201 …
July 16, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
d Demand Estimates (WASDE)
reports on July 11, 2014, U.S. wheat market prices initially responded negati … r larger U.S. and World ending stocks and lower wheat market prices in the “new crop”
2 … o other major threats to World wheat supplies and trade have yet emerged
to cause wheat prices to need to rise from cu …