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August 1, 2024
Breakout Sessions
Kansas State
University
2024 Risk andProfitConference
1 / 1
Outline
• Motivation
• … Challenges:
Farmers face risks from adverse weather, pests …
February 9, 2024
Crop Insurance Papers
enrolled in Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC). SCO policies … significant upfront
investment in risk management and thus merit … and Discussion
Declining profit margins are a concern for …
September 19, 2011
Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
Economy
Allen D. Leman Swine Conference
September 19, 2011
Brian … demand
curtailed livestock profits
• The U.S. and global … Unemployment Rate
9/11/2001
Event date
Forecasted
Unemployment …
September 19, 2011
Swine
Economy
Allen D. Leman Swine Conference
September 19, 2011
Brian … demand
curtailed livestock profits
• The U.S. and global … Unemployment Rate
9/11/2001
Event date
Forecasted
Unemployment …
Breakout Sessions
2013 Risk andProfitConference
Breakout Session Presenters … market information; analyzing profit due to underlying asset price … price changes
as opposed to profit due to option mispricing …
February 4, 2013
Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
Solutions
2013 Risk & Financial Management Conference
Brian C. Briggeman
Associate Professor and
Director of the Arthur Capper Cooperative Center
• … Herd liquidation continues?
3. Uncertainty of macro events outside of producers’ control
Will agriculture boom or bust in 2013?
2/4/2013
2
While the drought dinged net farm incomes in
2012, incomes were some of the largest on record.
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2005 Constant Dollars (Billions)
Inflation Adjusted U.S. Net Farm Income
20
12
F
USDA forecasts 2012
NFI to decline 5%
Ending Stocks‐to‐Daily Use
Source: USDA PS&D Data
The 2012 drought made an already tight stock
situation even tighter.
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Corn
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Wheat
20 year average
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SoybeansDays Available …
2021 Mini-Risk and Profit Conference Presentations
OUTLOOK
https://www.agmanager.info/events/risk‐and‐profit‐conference
Quarterly Forecasts (LMIC: 12/9/20)
2020 Per Capita Consumption: +0.9%!
Q1: +5.5%Q2: ‐8.3%Q3: +6.8%Q4: ‐0.2%
Trade continues smoothing role:(compare Domestic Production & Domestic PC Cons by quarter)
Also see: https://www.agmanager.info/livestock‐meat/marketing‐extension‐bulletins/trade‐and‐demand/overview‐us‐beef‐production‐export …
September 16, 2019
KFMA Research
high-, medium-, and low-profit producers. A recent report … these results shared at the Risk andProfitConference held in Manhattan, Kansas …
Breakout Sessions
2014 Risk andProfitConference
Breakout Session Presenters … and designing and adopting risk management instruments
to … Historical Impacts of Precipitation
and Temperature on Farm
Production in Kansas
David Lambert
Department of Agricultural Economics
Kansas State University
Slides prepared for the Risk & Profit Conference
August 21‐22, 2014
Overview of the talk:
• …
February 12, 2025
2018 Farm Bill, Recent Videos
0.00
*January KSU estimatehttps://www.agmanager.info/crop‐insurance/risk‐management‐strategies/mya … … 73%
https://www.agmanager.info/crop‐insurance/risk‐management‐strategies/mya‐price‐estimates‐updated‐arc‐and‐plc‐commodity‐0
41%
Chances of ARC‐County Payments in Oct. 2025 for 2024 Harvested Crops?
2024/2025ARC‐CO benchmark
2024/2025Estimated MYA*
% of Benchmark County yield to trigger payment
Example Benchmark County Yield (bushels …