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October 31, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
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Commercial Hedgers Managed Money (Specs) Swaps (Indexes …
September 15, 2020
Grain Market Outlook
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Commercial Hedgers Managed Money (Specs) Swaps (Indexes … Futures
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Figure 3c. Managed Money Traders (Specs) Long … M
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Long Managed Money (Specs) Short …
October 28, 2020
Grain Market Outlook
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Commercial Hedgers Managed Money (Specs) Swaps (Indexes … Futures
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Figure 3c. Managed Money Traders (Specs) Long … M
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Long Managed Money (Specs) Short …
December 15, 2023
Other Species
received regarding general
management and animal health and nutrition … Satisfaction Count
General management 3.37 41
Animal health and … Marketing 3.79 39
General management 3.62 39
Financial …
March 1, 2006
Dairy
need to be constructed to manage significant
heat stress … facilities
will be dependent on management style,
equity position … is willing to accept and
manage. Under these conditions …
April 28, 2025
Recent Videos
Center for Farm Financial Management, University of Minnesota … Center for Farm Financial Management, University of Minnesota … Center for Farm Financial Management, University of Minnesota …
June 8, 2012
Risk Management Strategies
their marketing and risk
management decisions. The risk of loss … producers would need to
manage their AGI to keep it under … an organization or change management
without this policy change …
October 16, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
Corn Futures Positions of Traders (CFTC Data)
Position of traders data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is available from
the CFTC at the following web address: https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm The CFTC
position of traders data on October 9th shows are more stable picture of corn futures trader sentiments that
may have been otherwise expected. This is especially true in regards to the quantity of long futures positions
held by Management Money (Speculator or “S …
November 27, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
Corn Futures Positions of Traders (CFTC Data)
Position of traders data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is available from
the CFTC at the following web address: https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm The CFTC
position of traders data on November 13th shows a more stable picture of corn futures trader sentiments that
may have been otherwise expected. This is especially true in regards to the quantity of long futures positions
held by Management Money (Speculator or “Spec”) traders than otherwise expected given harvest time
futures prices.
…
May 30, 2019
Grain Market Outlook
The U.S. Corn Market Situation in Spring 2019
The serious and prolonged spring planting season problems during April‐May 2019 for U.S. corn
producers are leading to a sharp reduction in 2019 U.S. corn production prospects. The likelihood of
a U.S. corn production shortfall in year 2019 is bring about a classic “short crop” marketing year for
U.S. corn markets in “new crop” MY 2019/20. The last major “short crop” for U.S. corn production
occurred seven (7) years ago in year 2012 due to excessive summer heat.
Concerns about delayed plantings or even the potential inability to plant corn or other crops this
year have driven corn futures sharply higher in recent weeks. “Old crop” JULY 2019 Corn futures
prices have increased from a low of $3.43 /bushel on May 13th to a high of $4.38 on May 29th before
closing at $4.18 ¾ that same day. Similarly, “new crop” DEC 2019 Corn futures prices have increased
from a low of $3.63 ¾ /bushel on May 13th to a high of $4.54 on May 29th before closing at $4.35 ¾
that same day (Figures 1a‐b‐c, & 2a‐b). With this rally in corn futures, managed money (specs) who
had been holding record short or bearish positions have begun to buy back their short futures
positions and instead build up the long or buy side of trade portfolios (Figures 3a‐b‐c‐d).
The U.S. government is also planning to provide a second round of Market Facilitation Payments
(MFPs) to U.S. crop producers, with the stipulation that crops have to be actually planted in year
2019 to collect these MFP funds. The longer into June 2019 these U.S. corn planting delays go, the
more difficult it may be for U.S. corn producers to keep with their original plans to plant corn this
year, and not switch to other shorter season cropping options such as soybeans and grain sorghum.
It is an oversimplification to say that the direction of the U.S. corn market for the remainder of
“current” MY 2018/19 (ending August 31st) and the start of “new crop” MY 2019/20 (starting
September 1st) will depend largely on the amount of U.S. corn acres planted over the coming few
weeks through June 2019. During that period U.S. farmers will likely be “under duress” as they make
what may be difficult late season planting decisions.
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