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November 18, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
… CME eCorn Futures
Mar. 19 – Nov. 14, 2014
Close = $4.06 ½ on 11/17/2014
DEC 2014 CME eCorn Futures
Mar. 20 – Nov. 17, 2014
Close = $3.77 ½ on 11/17/2014
Page | 3
The “new crop” JULY 2015 corn futures market contract also responded in a moderately positive manner
to the information in the November 10th USDA reports. On the day of the report – Monday, November 10th –
CME JULY 2015 corn futures prices opened at $3.94 per bushel, trading within the range of $3.93 ¾ ‐ $4.07
during the session, before settling at $3.98 ½ – up $0.02 per bushel for the day (Figure 1). Since then, JULY
2015 corn futures prices have traded in a range from a low of $3.94 ½ on Tuesday, November 11th to a high of
$4.17 on Thursday, November 13th, before closing at $4.06 ½ on Monday, November 17th.
Question: Do the prices in early October represent a fall harvest low?
In hindsight now it seems that the upward trend in DEC 2014 and JULY 2015 corn futures prices since the
$3.46 ¾ low trading price on October 1, 2014 may signal that the fall harvest market low in corn futures prices
has occurred. Of course the results of the December 2014 and the January 2015 USDA crop production and
WASDE reports and the grain market’s reaction to them as well as other possible market influencin …
July 18, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
n for these two
countries will be even higher in “new crop” MY 2014/15 – up to 145.0 mmt, which would be up 10.4% over the
three year period. This compares to U.S. soybean production of 82.6 mmt in MY 2012/13, 89.5 mmt in
“current” MY 2013/14, and a projected amount of 103.4 mmt in “new crop” MY 2014/14 – up 25.3% over the
same three year period. Also, the key market demand “driver” of Chinese soybean imports were estimated to
be 59.9 mb in MY 2012/13, and 69.0 mb in “current” MY 2013/14, and are projected to be 73.0 mb in “new
crop” MY 2014/15 – up 21.9% over the same three marketing years.
It is widely acknowledged by soybean market analysts that continued growth and/or at least sustainability
of Chinese soybean imports at current and projected levels by the USDA is necessary for continuance of the
historically high World soybean prices that have occurred since the 2012/13 marketing year. Rumors persist of
slowing Chinese soybean import demand due to swine industry production problems or other broad,
systematic economi …
April 3, 2024
Methods and Supporting Information (Prior Years)
roast, beef
sandwiches and other beef-based meals.
“Pork” … roast,
ground pork, and other pork-based meals.
“Chicken” … chicken, chicken sandwiches and other chicken-based meals.
“Fish/Seafood” …
October 4, 2024
Methods and Supporting Information (Prior Years)
roast, beef
sandwiches and other beef-based meals.
“Pork” … roast,
ground pork, and other pork-based meals.
“Chicken” … chicken, chicken sandwiches and other chicken-based meals.
“Fish/Seafood” …
October 4, 2024
Methods and Supporting Information (Prior Years)
roast, beef
sandwiches and other beef-based meals.
“Pork” … roast,
ground pork, and other pork-based meals.
“Chicken” … chicken, chicken sandwiches and other chicken-based meals.
“Fish/Seafood” …
October 4, 2024
Methods and Supporting Information (Prior Years)
roast, beef
sandwiches and other beef-based meals.
“Pork” … roast,
ground pork, and other pork-based meals.
“Chicken” … chicken, chicken sandwiches and other chicken-based meals.
“Fish/Seafood” …
January 4, 2024
Methods and Supporting Information (Prior Years)
have also started buying other brands. 3 1 I expect to …
August 19, 2016
Breakout session presentations
several families in five other states since 1985, facilitating … lender, and insurance industry meetings. Art's wife, Nancy, holds … K‐State Resources for Assistance
Others:
Income Tax Management in Low Income Years To Maximize After‐Tax Income
Planning for Income Tax Consequences for Farm Financial Distress Transactions
Managing Machinery Costs in a Difficult Financial Setting
Reductions in Working Capital and Resulting Burn Rates for Producers
How long can I afford to lose money on rented ground?
Dr. Mykel TaylorAssistant ProfessorK‐State Agricultural Economics785‐532‐3033 …
December 18, 2020
Grain Market Outlook
rate of 27.2 mb
shipped to meet the USDA projection of 2.200 … the U.S. dollar relative to other world currencies.
There …
July 25, 1997
Hedging & Options
the optimal
alternative. Other pricing methods such as cash … quanti-
ties are being traded to meet cross hedged futures
contract … soybeans, wheat, or some other
futures contract be used …