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Session IV: Whither the Cattle Cycle? Drought or Something Else?

General Sessions

and feed costs along with crop production profitability … 2015 2 OUTLINE 1. Cattle Market Fundamentals 2 . Demand Impacts 3 … Response 4 . Long Term Price Outlook 5 . Questions 3 OUTLINE 1 …

3. Understanding Basis and the Forward Contract for Kansas Wheat

Breakout Sessions

focused in the areas of cropmarketing and farm management. She … estimating land values for crop and pasture land in Kansas … but is relevant for other crops. by Mykel Taylor Risk and Profit Conference Manhattan, KS August 22, 2014 Basis …

Considerations for 2025 ARC/PLC Program Election

January 24, 2025 2018 Farm Bill

ARC/PLC Decision for 2025/2026 Marketing Year Robin Reid (robinreid@ksu.edu … 2025, and will be for the crop harvested in 2025, with payment … separate formulas, both use Marketing Year Average (MYA) prices …

Macroeconomic Risks for Farmer Cooperatives

November 21, 2011 Macro and Global Economic Perspectives

surging) 2. Inflation 3. Crop prices 4. Farmland Values … Purchases Liquidity to Key Credit Markets Lending to Financial Institutions Long … of Trade Historically, crop prices tend to move with …

Forward Planning Implications for Herd Rebuilding: Where Does the Stocker Segment Fit? Beef Stocker Field Day, Manhattan, KS.

September 25, 2014

accordingly Overarching Beef Industry Economic Outlook • Supplies – Continued … Analysis by LMIC Livestock Marketing Information Center C-P-49A09/22/14 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 JAN … Analysis by LMIC Livestock Marketing Information Center C-P-4909/22/14 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 JAN …

Feeder Cattle Situation: Indicators & Implications for Feedlot Operations K-State Cattle Feeders College. Scott City, KS.

May 9, 2013

University 1 Overarching Economic Outlook • Supplies – “Certain” … Head C-N-38 02/04/13 +1.9 % Livestock Marketing Information Center Data Source … Sep Percent Avg. 2007- 11 2012 2013 G-NP-30 05/06/13 Livestock Marketing Information Center Data Source …

State and (Possible) Future of U.S. Cattle Industry KSU/Merck, Young Stockmens Academy Alumni Beef Short Course. Manhattan, KS.

November 1, 2012

2012 1 www.agmanager.info Economic Outlook Overview: Cow-Calf Sector • … regional drought magnified market impact compared to 2011 • … 10/31/12 http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/graphs/cattle/prices/default.asp ESTIMATED …

A Preliminary Estimate of 2020 Kansas Net Farm Income and a Projection for 2021

February 3, 2021 Farm Profitability, KFMA Research

grain farms in Kansas. The outlook for the year improved considerably … however, the profitability outlook for farmers has changed considerably … the 2020 net farm income outlook has changed, this article …

Selling Hedge with Futures

Price Risk Publications

commodity will be sold in the cash market, a producer can use a selling … position in the futures market that is equal and opposite … expects to have in the cash market, so one is covered (subject …

From the Capital to the Combine - 2025 Farm Policy Changes Unpacked

September 1, 2025 2025 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations

Ago • Farm Economy– Tight crop margins for the foreseeable … increasing• Status quo trade and market access• Farm bill negotiations … programs https://ers.usda.gov/sites/default/files/_laserfiche/outlooks/109745/LDP-M-362.pdf Today • …

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Ag Policy
-Farm Bill
--One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OB3)
--2018 Farm Bill
-2020/2021 ARC-County Projections
-Foreign Holdings of U.S. Agricultural Land
--Detailed Kansas Data based on Separation of Energy Leases and Other Holdings
--Nationally Reported Foreign Holdings of U.S. Agricultural Land Data
-Historic Net Crop Insurance Payments
-ARC-CO Historical Payment Maps
-Kansas ARC/PLC Enrollment Maps
-Livestock Policy
--Fed Cattle Market Transparency
--Packers and Stockyards Act
--GIPSA's Proposed Rules (Release No. 0326.10)
--Mandatory Country of Origin Labeling
--Mandatory Price Reporting
--Pork Quality Grading System and Wholesale Pork Price Reporting
--Certification of Meat Attributes
-Hemp Resources
-Water Policy
-Ag Policy Links
-2014 Farm Bill
--Commodity Program Papers
--Commodity Program Presentations
--Commodity Program Decision Tools
--Commodity Program Links for Additional Information
--Dairy Program Resources
Agribusiness Management
-Business Development
--Assessing Business Opportunities
--Feasibility Study
---Guidelines
---Lists of Consultants
--USDA VADG Templates and Instructions
--Value Added Reference Guide
---Section 1: What's Value-Added?
---Section 2: Considering Cooperatives
---Section 3: USDA: Understanding Cooperatives
---Section 4: Starting Your Business
---Section 5: Directories and Assistance
-Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
-USDA METSS Project
-Agribusiness Papers
-Agribusiness Links
Budgeting
FinPack
-Training Resources
-Resources for Working with Producers
--Section 1: Program and Procedures
--Section 2: Gathering Financial Information
--Section 3: Developing a Balance Sheet
--Section 4: Enterprise Budgeting
--Section 5: Long-Range Planning (FINLRB)
--Section 6: Cash Flow Planning (FINFLO)
--Section 7: Interpreting Financial Statement Results
--Section 8: Miscellaneous Information
Crop Insurance
-Risk Management Strategies
-Livestock Insurance
-Crop Insurance Papers
-Crop Links
Farm Financial Management Page
-Presentation Material
-Publications
-Activities
Farm Profitability
Managing Risk and Marketing Grain in 2021 - Presentations
News
-KSRN Radio Interviews
-Recent Videos
-Newsletters, Podcasts and Blogs
-Position Announcements
-Newspapers and Magazines
Enterprise Summary
-Non-Irrigated Crops
--Corn
--Soybeans
--Wheat
--Grain Sorghum
--Alfalfa
--Sunflowers
--Oilseed Sunflowers
--Cotton
--Corn Silage
--Brome Hay
--Cane Hay-Sudan
--Oats
--Sorghum Silage
--Sudan-Cane Hay
--Conservation Reserve Program (CRP)
--Prairie Hay
--Double-Crop Soybeans
--Double-Crop Grain Sorghum
--Double-Crop Cane Hay
--Double-Crop Sorghum Silage
--Double-Crop Sunflowers
--No-Till Corn
--No-Till Soybeans
--No-Till Wheat
--No-Till Grain Sorghum
--No-Till Oilseed Sunflowers
--No-Till Sorghum Silage
--No-Till Cane Hay-Sudan
--No-Till Sunflowers
--No-Till Corn Silage
--Reduced-Till Corn
--Reduced-Till Soybeans
--Reduced-Till Wheat
--Reduced-Till Grain Sorghum
--Reduced-Till Cane Hay - Sudan
--Full-Till Corn
--Full-Till Soybeans
--Full-Till Wheat
--Tilled Corn
--Tilled Soybeans
--Tilled Grain Sorghum
--Tilled Wheat
--Strip-Till Corn
--Food-Grade Soybeans
-Summaries by Region
--All Livestock and Crop Enterprises
-Profit Thirds
--Non-Irrigated Corn
--Non-Irrigated Soybeans
--Non-Irrigated Wheat
--Non-Irrigated Grain Sorghum
--Non-Irrigated Alfalfa
--Non-Irrigated Brome
--Non-Irrigated Corn Silage
--Non-Irrigated Sorghum Silage
--Non-Irrigated Sudan Cane Hay
--Prairie Hay
--Conservation Reserve Program (CRP)
--Non-Irrigated Double-Crop Soybeans
--Non-Irrigated Full-Till Soybeans
--Non-Irrigated Full-Till Wheat
--Non-Irrigated Reduced-Till Corn
--Non-Irrigated Reduced-Till Soybeans
--Non-Irrigated Reduced-Till Grain Sorghum
--Non-Irrigated Reduced-Till Wheat
--Non-Irrigated No-Till Corn
--Non-Irrigated No-Till Soybeans
--Non-Irrigated No-Till Grain Sorghum
--Non-Irrigated No-Till Wheat
--Non-Irrigated NT Wheat
--Non-Irrigated No-Till Sudan Cane Hay
--Non-Irrigated Tilled Corn
--Non-Irrigated Tilled Soybeans
--Non-Irrigated Tilled Wheat
--Non-Irrigated Tilled Grain Sorghum
--Irrigated Corn
--Irrigated Soybeans
--Irrigated Wheat
--Irrigated Grain Sorghum
--Beef Cows Sell Calves
--Beef Cows Sell Feeders
--Beef Cows Sell Calves Spring Calving
--Beef Cows-Sell Feeders - Spring Calving
--Beef Backgrounding
--Beef Backgrounding-Finishing
--Dairy
-Livestock
--Beef Cows Sell Calves
--Beef Cows Sell Calves Spring Calving
--Beef Cows Sell Calves Fall Calving
--Beef Cows Sell Feeders
--Beef Cows Sell Feeders Spring Calving
--Beef Backgrounding Finishing
--Beef Cows SpringCalving vs. Fall Calving
--Beef Cows Sell Calves (State Average)
--Beef Cows Sell Calves (SE Kansas Average)
--Beef Cows Sell Fats
--Beef Finishing
--Beef Grazing
--Beef Backgrounding
--Dairy
--Sow and Litter
--Sows Sell Market Hogs
--Swine Fattening
--Swine Finishing
--Livestock Charts
--Feeder Pig Finishing
--Contract Turkeys
--Contract Turkeys SE Kansas
--Dairy Cows
-Effective Prices
--Corn
--Grain Sorghum
--Major Crops (Corn Wheat Soybeans Grain Sorghum)
--Major Dryland Crops (Corn Wheat Soybeans Grain Sorghum)
--Alfalfa
--Non Irrigated Crops
--Soybeans
--Sunflowers
--Wheat
-Enterprise Profit Center Summary
-Historical Net Return Charts
--Beef Cowherd Sell Calves and Sell Feeders
--Beef Grazing
--Irrigated Crops (wheat corn soybeans) average vs.
--Beef Backgrounding Finishing
--Beef Backgrounding
--NonIrrigated Crops (wheat corn soybeans grain sorghum alfalfa) average vs.
--Dairy Cows
--Sow and Litter Sell Market Hogs
-Effective Price Charts
--Grain Sorghum
--Major Dryland Crops (Corn Wheat Soybeans Grain Sorghum)
--Soybeans
--Wheat
--Corn
--Alfalfa
-Historical Net Returns
--Cow Calf Returns
--Beef Grazing
--Crop Net Returns per Acre
--Dairy and Swine Returns
--Beef Cowherd Sell Feeders
--Beef Cowherd Sell Calves
--Backgrounding and Background to Finish Returns
--Beef Backgrounding
--Beef Backgrounding Finishing
--Irrigated Crops (wheat corn soybeans) average vs.
--Dairy Cows
--NonIrrigated Crops (wheat corn soybeans grain sorghum alfalfa) average vs.
--NonIrrigated Crops (wheat corn soybeans milo alfalfa) average vs.
--Sow and Litter Sell Market Hogs
-Irrigated Crops
--Wheat Sprinkler
--Grain Sorghum All
--Grain Sorghum Flood
--Grain Sorghum Sprinkler
--Pinto Beans
--Irrigated Grain Sorghum
--Corn Silage Sprinkler
--Corn Flood
--Corn Silage
--Corn Silage All
--Irrigated Soybeans
--Soybeans All
--Sunflowers Oil
--Irrigated Wheat
--Wheat All
--Wheat Flood
--Sunflowers Confectionary
--Sunflowers
--Soybeans Flood
--Soybeans Sprinkler
--Sudan
--Sudan Cane Hay
--Corn All
--Corn Sprinkler
--Irrigated Corn
--Alfalfa Sprinkler
--Cane Hay Sudan
--Alfalfa All
--Alfalfa Flood
--Irrigated Alfalfa
Events
-Ag Lenders Conference
--2025 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
--2024 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
--2023 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
--2022 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
--2021 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
--2020 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
--2019 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
--2018 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
--2017 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
--2016 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
-Crop Insurance Workshop
--2025 Kansas Crop Insurance Presentations
--2024 Kansas Crop Insurance Presentations
--2023 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
--2022 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
--2021 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
--2020 K-State Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
--2020 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
--2019 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
--2018 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
--2017 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
--2016 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
--2015 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
-Risk and Profit Conference
--Previous Conference Proceedings
---2002
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2003
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2004
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2005
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2006
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2007
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2008
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2009
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2010
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2011
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2012
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2013
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2014
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2015
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2017
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2018
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2019
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2020 Risk and Profit Conference Presentations
---2021
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2021 Mini-Risk and Profit Conference Presentations
---2021 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
---Risk and Profit Online Mini-Conference Presentations
---2022 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
---2022
----Breakout Sessions
----General Sessions
---2023
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2023 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
---2024
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
---2025
----General Sessions
----Breakout Sessions
--Risk and Profit Conference Presentations
---General Session Presentations
---Breakout session presentations
-2018 Farm Bill Meetings
--2018 Farm Bill Meetings Presentations
-Farming For the Future Conferences
--Farming for the Future Presentations
-Kansas Landowners Conference
Ag Law and Human Resources
-Ag Law Issues
-Compensation
-Employee and Employer Forms
-Labor Law
-Management
Association Summary
-Summary
-Net Farm Income-Quartiles
-Farm Type
-Value of Farm Production
-Age of Operator
-Acreage
-Census Acres
-Business Entity
-Capital Managed
-Adjusted Expense Ratios
-Economic Expense Ratios
-Detailed Cost-Summary
-Detailed Cost-Farm Type
-Family Living
-Summary Book - All Counties
County Summary
Crops
Grain Marketing
-Grain Market Outlook
-Grain Marketing Presentations
-Grain Marketing Publications
--International Grain Markets
--Marketing Publications
--Price Risk Publications
-Grain Supply and Demand (WASDE)
--Corn Supply & Demand Charts
--Grain Sorghum Supply & Demand Charts
--Soybean Supply & Demand Charts
--Wheat Supply & Demand Charts
--Spreadsheets with WASDE data
-Cash Prices & Marketing Strategies
-Variable Storage Rates (VSR)
Production Economics
-Energy
-Farm Management Guides
--FM Livestock
---2025 Livestock Budgets
---2024 Livestock Budgets
---2023 Livestock Budgets
---2022 Livestock Budgets
--Budgeting
--Financial Management
--Insurance
--Labor
--Land Economics
--Miscellaneous
--Public Policy
--Other Material
-Prices and Price Forecasts
-Production Publications
Machinery
-Farm Machinery Papers
-Machinery Cost Calculator
-Crop Progress Charts
--Harvest Progress
--Planting Progress
--Emergence Progress
--Remaining Physiological Progress
-Precision Ag and Technology Articles
-Precision Ag and Technology Podcasts and Videos
-Fuel Price Forecasts
Finance & Business Planning
-Financial Statements and Ratios
-Financial Management
-Farm Business and Transition Planning
-Research Papers and Presentations
Livestock & Meat Marketing
-Cattle Finishing Returns
-Connecting Livestock Producers with Recent Economic Research (CLPER)
-Cross-Subject Areas
--Animal Health
--Animal ID & Traceability
--Animal Well-Being
--Food Safety
-In the Cattle Markets (LMIC)
-Livestock & Hay Charts
--Basis Charts
--Forecast Price Charts
--Price Charts
--Weekly Slaughter Charts
--Cattle on Feed Charts
--Hay Price Charts
--Meat Trade Charts
--Share of US Meat Exports
--Livestock Feeding Returns Charts
-Livestock Marketing Extension Bulletins
--Marketing Strategies and Livestock Pricing
---Fed Cattle Pricing
---Feeder Cattle Pricing
---Hog Pricing
---Marketing Strategies
--Price Risk
---Price Risk Management
---Hedging & Options
---Basis
---Technical & Fundamental Analysis
--Trade and Demand
---Industry Economics & Trade
---Livestock & Meat Demand
-LRP Insurance
-Meat Demand
--Meat Demand Research Studies
--Monthly Domestic Meat Demand Indices
--Monthly Export Meat Demand Indices
--Monthly Meat Demand Monitor, Methods, and Supporting Information
---Monthly Meat Demand Monitor
---Methods and Supporting Information
---Academic Papers using MDM Data
---Use in Government Testimony
---Examples of Media Coverage
--Monthly Meat Demand Monitor and Supporting Information - Prior Years
---Monthly Meat Demand Monitor (Prior Years)
---Methods and Supporting Information (Prior Years)
-Production Economics
--Beef Cattle
--Limit-Feeding Stockers
--Swine
--Dairy
--Other Species
-U.S. Export Meat Sentiment
Farm Management
-Decision-Making Tools
--Wind Energy Leases
-Land Buying and Valuing
--Land Use Value Research
-County Level Land Values and Rents
-Land Rental Rates
-Leasing Papers and Presentations
-Land Leasing Forms
KFMA
-KFMA Newsletters
-KFMA Research
-Executive Summary
-State Summary
--Summary
--Net Farm Income - Quartile
--Farm Type
--Value of Farm Production
--Age of Operator
--Acreage
--Census Acres
--Business Entity
--Capital Managed
--Adjusted Expense Ratios
--Economic Expense Ratios
--Detailed Cost - Summary
--Detailed Cost - Farm Type
--Family Living
--Annual Book
-Family Living Expenses - Articles
2018 Extension Outlook Conference