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May 19, 2014
Agribusiness Papers
no segment is effective in meeting the
consumer’s complex … 2. What should we do to meet the needs of the future consumer … potential implications for meeting food needs. Let us start …
January 14, 2015
Commodity Program Presentations
Penalty will be too high
for most farms
• Other notes
• Paperwork burden higher
for this program
• … Payment in 2014‐2015 likely for both ARC‐CO (wheat: yield loss, others: price
loss) and PLC (sorghum?)
• … How good you are at guessing where prices and yields will be in future years?
Farm Bill In‐Depth Educational
Meetings:
• January 12: Wichita
• …
Price Risk Publications
located within 15 miles of each
other were offering basis contracts … Typically, as the
uncertainty of meeting the shipment commitment
disappears … educational purposes. All other rights reserved. In each …
December 4, 2017
Agribusiness Papers
positive, then the firm is not meeting
their growth target and … SGR levers influence
each other. Equation (2) clearly shows … examples can
be done for the other levers, the key point remains …
October 10, 2024
Periodic USFR coverage & other 1-off Assessments
17
Broad … flexitarian, 10% veg or veg, 6% other
39
State-Level Dashboard …
January 30, 2023
Ag Law Issues
whether one state can override other states’ rules. The answer … Congress--restricts state power. In other words, the grant of federal … governments that
are hostile to other states. Generally, the dormant …
August 15, 2016
Breakout session presentations
flows that are not able to meet debt obligations. The
income … The law of rights between debtors and their creditors and taxation of transactions between them is highly complex and complicated. The tax laws and other legal matters by this pr … of facts and circumstances that makes it impossible to give solutions other than in a general guidel …
September 1, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
s occur in late 2015‐2016, grain markets could be volatile, with price direction uncertain to predict.
The development of volatile weather patterns in 2015 such as “El Nino” may cause production problems for
corn and other coarse grains in parts o … ame day the USDA World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB) released its
August 2015 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report – containing U.S. and World
corn supply‐demand and price projections for the 2013/14, “old crop” 2014/15, as well as the “new crop”
2015/16 marketing years. The “new crop” 2015/16 marketing year for U.S. corn began on September 1, 2015
and will last through August 31, 2016.
I‐B. CME DEC 2015 & MAY 2016 Corn Futures Trends
The CME DECEMBER 2015 corn contract is now the “lead” corn futures contract – representing “new crop”
2015 corn market price prospects. Local basis adjustments are now being made off DEC 2015 corn futures for
spot cash corn and grain sorghum price bids in North America as well as other World grain markets. The “new
crop” DECEMBER 2015 corn futures market contract initially responded in a “very negative” manner to the
information in the August 12th USDA reports, but in the days afterward have trended “first higher then
sideways”. The USDA report findings were publicly released at approximately mid‐session, i.e., 12:00 noon
eastern time (11:00 a.m. central) that day.
On the day of the report – Wednesday, August 12th – Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) DECEMBER 2015
corn futures prices opened at $3.87 ¾ per bushel, and traded in a range of $3.57 ½ ‐ $3.93 ½ during the
session, before settling at $3.68 – down $0.19 ½ for the day (Figure 1). Since then, DECEMBER 2015 Corn has
traded from a low of $3.65 ½ on Monday, August 24th to a high of $3.86 ¾ on Tuesday, August 25th to before
closing at $3.75 ¼ on Monday, August 31st.
Figure 1. DECEMBER 2015 & MAY 2016 CME Corn Futures Price Charts …
May 19, 2017
Grain Market Outlook
then 2017 U.S. corn production could be in the range of 13.500 to 13.750
billion bushels (bb) instead of the USDA projection of 14.065 bb or the record high of 15.148 bb in 2016.
Forecasts by the USDA and other market analysts that endi … nd for corn in
Kansas and nationwide. While the “large supply and tight storage availability” situation still predominates in
local Kansas grain markets, it is a positive market signal that corn usage has not declined, and that Kansas cash
corn prices have enough support to have avoided falling down to USDA loan rate levels.
Other factors that could affect …
October 25, 2017
Grain Market Outlook
corn market to 2017 summer‐early fall production risks that occurred. The
corn market has been less responsive to any 2017 U.S. corn production threats since beginning stocks for “new
crop” MY 2017/18 have been projected to be near 2.340 bb rather than down to 1.000 bb. If this “large stocks
situation” persists through summer 2018, this mitigating and limiting affect will likely hamper future 2018 corn
crop forward pricing prospects as well.
Second, the grain market continues to anticipate that low prices for U.S. corn will help maintain strong
usage for domestic U.S. ethanol and wet milling production, as well as livestock feeding through at least spring
2018 if not into the summer months.
Third, at least “moderate” continued strength is expected in U.S. corn exports due to low U.S. corn prices
and also to a moderate weakening of the U.S. dollar against other World currencies. Export …