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March 21, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
g stocks, and raised its projection of U.S.
average soybean prices by $0.25 per bushel.
The soybean market has recently focused on South American soybean production and logistical issues, re … DA projected U.S. soybean prices for “current” MY 2013/14 to be $12.20‐$13.70 /bu
(midpoint = $12.95), up $0.25, but still down from the record high of $14.40 in “last year’s” MY 2012/13.
KSU & USDA U.S. Soybean Forecasts for “Next Crop” MY 2014/15: KSU projections of 2014 U.S. soybean
production and “next crop” MY 2 …
September 22, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
market in what remains of 2016 through mid‐
2017 include: 1) the pace and timing of U.S. farmer marketing of the 2016 corn crop – much of which will be
placed in storage after fall harvest, 2) anticipation of continued strong use of carryover 2015 and new 2016
crop U.S. corn in domestic U.S. ethanol production and livestock feeding, 3 …
April 3, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
… (15.65% S/U) in MY 2016/17. United States’ corn prices are projected to average %
S/U prior to the March 29th reports).
4. KSU‐Adjusted USDA Supply‐Demand Projections for “New Crop” MY 2018/19
The results of the March 29th USDA Prospective Plantings report have caused changes in the “new crop”
M 2018/19 projections for U.S. corn supply‐demand and prices that were released by the USDA at the
Agricultural Outlook Forum in Arlington, Virginia on February 23, 2018. Estimates by Kansas State University
of these changes are as follows.
The updated KSU‐adjusted USDA‐based forecasts are that a) 2018 U.S. corn production would be 14.390
bb – …
July 26, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
mpact of Chinese tariffs on U.S.
soybean imports from now through fall 2018 (if the trade dispute is not solved by then).
What is “Known” – Strong 2018 U.S. Soybean Production Prospects: Market expectat … rd
4.310 billion bushels (bb), down 82 million bushels (mb) from the record high of 4.392 billion bushels (bb) in
year 2017, but up from 4.296 bb in year 2016. The August 10th USDA Crop Production and World Agricultural
S …
October 31, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
U.S. soybean exports to
that country are likely to persist through at least mid‐2019 given the lack of progress on trade negotiations
between the countries.
What is “Known” – Record Large U.S. Soybean Production, Supplies, & % Stocks/Use … In the October 11,
2018 USDA Crop Production report, the USDA projecte …
October 16, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
Negative U.S. Corn Market Factors
U.S. Corn Production in 2018: The most important negative market factor is the projected size of the 2018 U.S.
corn crop at 14.778 billion bushels (bb) – forecast to be the second highest on record behind 15.148 bb in
2016, but up from 14.601 bb in 2017 (Table 1 & Figures 5‐7).
Total U.S. Corn Supplies in “new crop” MY 2018/19: In addition, the USDA projects total supplies of U.S. corn
in the “new crop” 2018/19 marketing year (MY) starting 9/1/2018 to be a record high 16.968 bb –
maintaining downward pressure on U.S. corn prices. Total supplies of U.S. corn in MY 2016/17 were a
previous record high of 16.942 bb, and were only marginally lower at 16.934 bb in “old crop” MY 2017/18
which ended on August 31, 2018 (Table 1 & Figure 7).
…
December 1, 2010
KFMA Newsletters
type. Labor standards and
production units are used to designate … unpaid, devoted to crop
production. Crop/beef cow farms have … labor devoted to beef cow
production. Similarly, crop/backgrounding …
May 19, 2017
Grain Market Outlook
… mmer 2017) and strong U.S. corn use in ethanol production, wet corn milling, export … yields near 167‐168
bu/acre, then 170 bu/acre in 2017, then 2017 U.S. corn production could be in the range o …
September 29, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
Fall 2014.
USDA U.S. Soybean Forecast for “New Crop” MY 2014/15: The USDA forecast record high U.S. soybean
production in 2014 of 3.913 billion … of 3.359 bb in 2009. This USDA forecast 2014 U.S. soybean production
of 3.913 bb is based o … …
July 5, 2017
Risk Management Strategies
Flax, Forage Seeding, Forage Production, Peaches, Prunes, Raisins … includes all of the APH based
products. “Crops” not included … bushels on line 4, and the
production on line 6, equals 56 bushels …