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September 27, 2012
market impact compared
to 2011
• Eventually: return … necessarily seeking to maximize profits as core goal …
• Returns … Sep
Percent
Avg.
2006-
010
2011
2012
G-NP-30
09/24/12Livestock …
August 1, 2022
2022 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
Uncertainty?
Amber Oerly, Risk & Profit 2022
Overview
• U.S. beef cow herd declining since 2020
• … Costs, structure, technology, demographics, climate, and barriers to
entry/asset fixity impact herd expansion/contraction decisions
• Unexpected events disrupted supply chains and created economic,
environmental, and social uncertainty in beef industry
• …
February 4, 2013
Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
Solutions
2013 Risk & Financial Management Conference
Brian C. Briggeman
Associate Professor and
Director of the Arthur Capper Cooperative Center
• … Herd liquidation continues?
3. Uncertainty of macro events outside of producers’ control
Will agriculture boom or bust in 2013?
2/4/2013
2
While the drought dinged net farm incomes in
2012, incomes were some of the largest on record.
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2005 Constant Dollars (Billions)
Inflation Adjusted U.S. Net Farm Income
20
12
F
USDA forecasts 2012
NFI to decline 5%
Ending Stocks‐to‐Daily Use
Source: USDA PS&D Data
The 2012 drought made an already tight stock
situation even tighter.
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Corn
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Wheat
20 year average
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SoybeansDays Available …
Breakout Sessions
2013 Risk andProfit Conference
Breakout Session … market information; analyzing profit due to underlying asset price … price changes
as opposed to profit due to option mispricing …
August 1, 2022
2022 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
Associate Professor
2022 KSU Risk andProfit Conference
Alumni Center … Protection
https://agmanager.info/events/risk-and-profit-conference/previous-
conferen … conference-proceedings/2017-risk-and-profit-conference/14
https://www.marginprotection.com/
What …
February 23, 2012
Beef cows = -1.09% (1975-2011)
JANUARY 1 FEEDER … 4366
National Herd:
- 3.1% (vs. 2011)
Smallest since
1962
20 … COWS NUMBERS
JANUARY 1, 2011 TO JANUARY 2012
(1000 Head …
October 21, 2020
Livestock Insurance, Crop Insurance Papers, 2020 K-State Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
Backgrounded feeder cattle under new provisions
Livestock insurance options by type of risk
Production
FeedPrice
LRP
PR … DRP
MPCI
WFRP
Production RiskEvents such as disease or weather that can lead to a decline in production/weight gain or mortalityPrice RiskMarket price might drop, even to the point of not covering the cost of productionFeed RiskIf crop/forage yield decreases, feed may become expensive or difficult to purchase
Policies in red are never …
Breakout Sessions
2014 Risk andProfit Conference
Breakout Session … and designing and adopting risk management instruments
to … Historical Impacts of Precipitation
and Temperature on Farm
Production in Kansas
David Lambert
Department of Agricultural Economics
Kansas State University
Slides prepared for the Risk & Profit Conference
August 21‐22, 2014
Overview of the talk:
• …
April 29, 2020
Grain Market Outlook
April 28, 2020
Recent events in the U.S. economy caused … crop”
MY 2020/21.
Risk Avoiding Market Responses … corn producers making these profit maximizing / loss
minimizing …
Breakout Sessions
2012 Risk andProfit Conference
Breakout Session … work in cropping systems profitability, since the passage of the … SURE
Establishes Ag Risk Coverage (ARC)
Maintains …