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January 1, 1999
Price Risk Management
Risk
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
Origin of Futures
Trading
Futures …
January 1, 1998
Price Risk Management
Risk
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
Cash Marketing
Basis is …
January 1, 1998
Hedging & Options
Risk
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
Options give the
agricultural …
January 1, 1998
Hedging & Options
Option
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
Put options are a pricing
tool …
March 20, 2015
Commodity Program Papers
Department of Agricultural Economics, K-State
Research and Extension …
December 1, 2012
Farm Business and Transition Planning
Department of Agricultural Economics MF3074 Farm Planning
Kansas …
March 14, 2013
Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
too few goods.
Quantity Theory of Money
So, for rapid price inflation:
3/4/2013
8
‐2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Jan
‐71
De
c‐7
2
No
v‐7
4
Oc
t‐7
6
Sep
‐78
Au
g‐8
0
Jul
‐82
Jun
‐84
Ma
y‐8
6
Ap
r‐8
8
Ma
r‐9
0
Feb
‐92
Jan
‐94
De
c‐9
5
No
v‐9
7
Oc
t‐9
9
Sep
‐01
Au
g‐0
3
Jul
‐05
Jun
‐07
Ma
y‐0
9
Ap
r‐1
1
PCE Price Index (Headline)
PCE Price Index Excluding Food and Energy (Core)
Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index
Percent change from previous year
Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Today’s inflation is well below 1970s levels…
10‐year Inflation Expectations
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
…and inflation expectations are very low.
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Ja
n-8
2
Ja
n-8
3
Ja
n-8
4
Ja
n-8
5
Ja
n-8
6
Ja
n-8
7
Ja
n-8
8
Ja
n-8
9
Ja
n-9
0
Ja
n-9
1
Ja
n-9
2
Ja
n-9
3
Ja
n-9
4
Ja
n-9
5
Ja
n-9
6
Ja
n-9
7
Ja
n-9
8
Ja
n-9
9
Ja
n-0
0
Ja
n-0
1
Ja
n-0
2
Ja
n-0
3
Ja
n-0
4
Ja
n-0
5
Ja
n-0
6
Ja
n-0
7
Ja
n-0
8
Ja
n-0
9
Ja
n-1
0
Ja
n-1
1
Ja
n-1
2
Ja
n-1
3
3/4/2013
9
Why is inflation low? Velocity has plummeted.
• …
February 4, 2013
Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
October 14, 2011
Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
the 1970s, the agricultural economics
literature has explored …
December 1, 2003
Assessing Business Opportunities
Program
Department of Agricultural Economics
Kansas State University
Email …