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February 22, 2018
Tonsor
Dept. of Agricultural Economics,
Kansas State University
2018 … 2018
Overarching Beef Industry
Economic Outlook
• Supplies
– … http://www.beefusa.org/CMDocs/BeefUSA/resources/CC2011-Cattle-Fax-All-Slides.pdf
Economic Outlook Overview: Post Weaning
Forward-Looking …
February 23, 2018
Tonsor
Dept. of Agricultural Economics,
Kansas State University
Overarching … University
Overarching Beef Industry
Economic Outlook
• Supplies
– … http://www.beefusa.org/CMDocs/BeefUSA/resources/CC2011-Cattle-Fax-All-Slides.pdf
Economic Outlook Overview: Post Weaning
Forward-Looking …
April 25, 2018
Tonsor
Dept. of Agricultural Economics, Kansas State University
Email … TonsorGlynn
Overarching Beef Industry
Economic Outlook
• Supplies
– … http://www.beefusa.org/CMDocs/BeefUSA/resources/CC2011-Cattle-Fax-All-Slides.pdf
Economic Outlook Overview: Post Weaning
Forward-Looking …
October 1, 2018
2018 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
Department of Agricultural Economics - April 2018
http://www.agmanager.info
Introduction
The … Department of Agricultural Economics - 4/03/18
Gregg Ibendahl … Department of Agricultural Economics - 4/03/18
Gregg Ibendahl …
August 1, 2024
Breakout Sessions
Yu
Department of Agricultural Economics,
Kansas State University
2024 … investment.
Objective: To promote economic integration and increase … agricultural products.
Fostered economic integration and expanded …
January 1, 2008
Swine
1
Department of Agricultural Economics
Kevin C. Dhuyvetter
Extension … short run,
during periods of economic losses,
it is possible the … help producers evaluate
the economic potential of separate
site …
Breakout Sessions
Department of Agricultural
Economics and Director of Masters of … Ph.D. degrees in agricultural economics from
Purdue University … holds a B.S. in agricultural economics and …
October 6, 2017
2017 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
TonsorDept. of Agricultural Economics,Kansas State University
Over … University
Overarching Beef Industry Economic Outlook
• Supplies– … Domestic Retail vs. Food Service?
Overarching Beef Industry Economic Outlook
C-P-5410/02/17
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JAN …
September 18, 2024
Recent Videos, Risk and Profit Online Mini-Conference Presentations
ant Professor of the Department of Agricultural Economics,Kansas State University
P … sas State University
PhD in Economics, Associate Professor from Ukraine
OUTLINE: • … IN UKRAINE, %
Source: Info Sapiens, Centre for Economic Strategy
PROPORTION OF HOUSEHOLDS FACING MODERATE OR SEVERE ACUTE FOOD INSECURITY IN UKRAINE
Source: REACH/WFP, October 2023
Food insecurity Aug 2024: 19.7%
UnemploymentAug 2024: 13.9%
60.4
41.3
32.9
7.5 …
December 18, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
Market Forecasts: Projected supply‐demand and price scenarios by KSU for “new crop” MY
2015/16 are as follows: a) “USDA S/D Estimates” Scenario (80% prob.): All supply‐demand assumptions equal
to the USDA’s, but with $3.60 /bu U.S. corn MYA prices; b) “2015 Smaller Crop” Scenario (10% prob.): U.S.
corn yield of 167.0 bu/ac, 2015 U.S. corn production of 13.470 bb, total supplies of 15.232 bb, total use of
13.630 bb, ending stocks of 1.602 bb, 11.75% S/U, & $4.00 /bu U.S. corn MYA prices; and c) “2015 Economic
Problems” Scenario (10% prob.): U.S. corn production and supplies equal to the USDA estimates, but lower
total use of 13.435 bb, ending stocks of 1.980 bb, 14.7% S/U, & $3.40 /bu U.S. corn MYA prices.
USDA Forecast for “Next Crop” MY 2016/17: In their Agricultural Projections to 2025 the USDA provided an
initial forecast of U.S. corn supply‐demand and prices for the “next crop” 2016/17 marketing year beginning
September 1, 2016. The USDA projected 2016 U.S. corn plantings of 90.5 million acres (ma) – up 2.119 ma
from 2015. Forecast 2016 harvested acres of 82.7 ma would be 2.036 ma vs 2015. With projected yields of
168.1 bu/ac, 2016 U.S. corn production is projected to be 13.900 billion bushels (bb) – 2nd highest on record.
With forecast MY 2016/17 total use of 13.935 bb (record high), and ending stocks of 1.780 bb (12.77% S/U),
U.S. corn prices are projected to be $3.60 /bu – down marginally from $3.65 /bu in “new crop” MY 2015/16.
World Corn Supply‐Demand: World total supplies of 1,182.1 million metric tons (mmt) are projected for “new
crop” MY 2015/16, down marginally from 1,183.7 mmt in “old crop” MY 2014/15, but up from 1,124.3 mmt in
MY 2013/14. Projected World corn ending stocks of 211.9 mmt (21.8% S/U) in “new crop” MY 2015/16 are up
from 208.2 mmt (21.3% S/U) in “old crop” MY 2014/15, and from 174.9 mmt (18.4% S/U) in MY 2013/14.
Page | 2
I. U.S. Corn Market Situation and Outlook
I‐A. December 2015 USDA WASDE Report
On December 9th the USDA World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB) released its December 2015 World
Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report – containing U.S. and World corn supply‐demand
and price projections for the 2013/14, “old crop” 2014/15, as well as the “new crop” 2015/16 marketing years.
The “new crop” 2015/16 marketing year for U.S. corn began on 9/1/2015 and will last through 8/31/2016.
I‐B. CME MARCH & DECEMBER 2016 Corn Futures Trends
The CME MARCH 2016 corn contract is now the “lead” corn futures contract – representing “new crop”
2016 corn market price prospects. Local basis adjustments are now being made off MARCH corn futures for
spot cash corn and grain sorghum price bids in North America as well as other World grain markets. The “new
crop” MARCH 2016 corn futures market contract initially responded in a “neutral” manner to the information
in the December 9th USDA reports, and in the days afterward has trended sideways‐to‐higher before declining
sharply on Wednesday, Ed. The USDA report findings were publicly released at approximately mid‐session,
i.e., 12:00 noon eastern time (11:00 a.m. central) that day.
On the day of the report – Wednesday, December 9th – Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) MARCH 2016
corn futures prices opened at $3.73 ½ per bushel, and traded in a range of $3.70 ¼ ‐ $3.79 ¼ during the
session, before settling at $3.73 ¾ – up $0.00 ¼ for the day (Figure 1). Since then, MARCH 2016 Corn has
traded from a low of $3.62 ½ on December 17th high of $3.80 ¼ on December 11th to a before closing at $3.74
½ on Friday, December 18th.
Figure 1. MARCH & DECEMBER 2016 CME Weekly Corn Futures Price Charts
ne …