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August 3, 2016
Livestock Insurance, Breakout session presentations
2016 Risk andProfit Conference
Breakout Session … has a special interest in risk
management, particularly … that is backed by USDA’s Risk Management Agency, just like …
August 1, 2022
Breakout Sessions
Uncertainty?
Amber Oerly, Risk & Profit 2022
Overview
• U.S. beef cow herd declining since 2020
• … Costs, structure, technology, demographics, climate, and barriers to
entry/asset fixity impact herd expansion/contraction decisions
• Unexpected events disrupted supply chains and created economic,
environmental, and social uncertainty in beef industry
• …
April 8, 2020
Recent Videos
agriculture, stocks, oil, metals
Black SwanA black swan is an unpredictable event that is beyond what is … tentially severe consequences. Black swan events are characterized by their extreme rarity, their severe impact, and the widespread insistence they were obvious in hindsight.
KEY TAKEAWAYS• …
July 9, 2024
Precision Ag and Technology Articles
degradation, farm-level yield and
profitability penalties can be modeled … downtime methods.
Natural events may include ionospheric scintillation … SWPC
NOAA, 2024). Solar events on May 10, 2024, produced …
August 1, 2025
Breakout Sessions
Estimates
Gregg Ibendahl - K-State
Risk andProfit - August 2025
Government … 7%
10%
13%
16%
13%
8%
13%
10%
12%
7%
9%
7%
11%
51%
15%
11%
10%
10%
18%
18%
23%
72%
67%
59%
57%
62%
71%
57%
70%
62%
74%
70%
73%
64%
23%
60%
69%
68%
67%
56%
57%
51%
21%
23%
28%
27%
25%
21%
30%
20%
26%
19%
21%
20%
25%
26%
25%
20%
22%
23%
26%
25%
26%2005
2006
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2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
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2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
100 …
September 19, 2011
Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
demand
curtailed livestock profits
• The U.S. and global … Unemployment Rate
9/11/2001
Event date
Forecasted
Unemployment … abounds
4) Inflation risk
Opportunities Challenges …
September 19, 2011
Swine
demand
curtailed livestock profits
• The U.S. and global … Unemployment Rate
9/11/2001
Event date
Forecasted
Unemployment … abounds
4) Inflation risk
Opportunities Challenges …
February 4, 2013
Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
Solutions
2013 Risk & Financial Management Conference
Brian C. Briggeman
Associate Professor and
Director of the Arthur Capper Cooperative Center
• … Herd liquidation continues?
3. Uncertainty of macro events outside of producers’ c … 19
89
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92
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95
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98
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01
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04
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07
20
10
2005 Constant Dollars (Billions)
Inflation Adjusted U.S. Net Farm Income
20
12
F
USDA forecasts 2012
NFI to decline 5%
Ending Stocks‐to‐Daily Use
Source: USDA PS&D Data
The 2012 drought made an already tight stock
situation even tighter.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
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90
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Corn
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90
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Wheat
20 year average
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SoybeansDays Available …
August 1, 2022
2022 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
Uncertainty?
Amber Oerly, Risk & Profit 2022
Overview
• U.S. beef cow herd declining since 2020
• … Costs, structure, technology, demographics, climate, and barriers to
entry/asset fixity impact herd expansion/contraction decisions
• Unexpected events disrupted supply chains and created economic,
environmental, and social uncertainty in beef industry
• …
August 1, 2021
Breakout Sessions
Jennifer Ifft, Associate Professor
Risk and Profit ConferenceAugust 19 and 20, 2021
This research was supported in part by the USDA Office of the Chief Economist and USDA NIFA Multistate Project Agricultural and Rural Finance Markets in Transition, Accession No. 1020261
Outline
• …