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June 20, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
… … 2014, and 13.829 bb in 2013.
Page | 2
With forecast “new crop” MY 2016/17 total supplies of 16.178 bb (record high), total use of 14.170 bb (record
high), and projected ending stocks of 2.008 bb (14.17% S/U …
June 2, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
orts with
163.9 mmt in the “new” marketing year – down from 166.9 mmt last year, and from 164.1 mmt two years ago,
c) World wheat ending stocks at a record high 257.3 … years ago, and d), World wheat percent ending stocks‐to‐use of 36.1% ‐ u … 02). For perspective, the 34‐year
low in World wheat ending stocks of 128.7 mmt and at lea …
September 29, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
b from “old crop” MY 2013/14.
Domestic crush was projected to be 1.770 bb – up 40 mb from a year ago, while exports were forecast to be a
record high 1.700 bb, up from the old record of 1.645 bb in “old crop” MY 2013/14. Forecast “new crop”
2014/15 ending stocks were raised to 474 mb …
December 8, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
likely to
cause a change in the prevailing “large crop – low price” market scenario in U.S./World coarse grain markets.
USDA U.S. Grain Sorghum Market Forecast: In the 11/10/2015 WASDE report, the USDA raised its forecasts of
2015 U.S. grain sorghum production and ending stocks – leading to a moderat …
March 15, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
by May‐June 2016 unless a) unexpected late season corn
production problems occur South America, b) larger than expected U.S. corn usage occurs in response to lo … gh summer‐fall
2016. Also, low feedgrain prices have resulted in lower input costs for U.S. and Foreign livestock feeding and
bioenergy users – leading to strong domestic feedgrain usage and providing underlying …
April 29, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
… ears ago, and d), World wheat
percent ending stocks‐to‐use of 33.8% ‐ u … 1/02). For perspective, the 34‐year low in World wheat ending stocks of
128.7 mmt and at le …
June 22, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
… years ago, and 4) World wheat percent
ending stocks‐to‐use of 36.0% ‐ u … 02). For a perspective on how historically large World wheat stocks and
percent …
March 17, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
… ears ago, and d), World wheat
percent ending stocks‐to‐use of 33.5% ‐ u … 02). For perspective, the 34‐year low in World wheat ending stocks of 128.7
mmt and at le …
April 19, 2017
Grain Marketing Presentations
concerns)
• Record World Supplies & Usage Forecast in 2016/17
o 4th … or until World supplies & stocks tighten
o Alternative “All … Exports Quality Issues, Large Stocks, & Low Prices
U.S. wheat …
October 1, 2018
2018 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
Corn2018 < 14.8 bln bu? End Stocks < 1.774 bb?
o Soybeans2018 … Soybeans2018 < 4.7 bln bu? End Stocks < 845 mb?
2) U.S. HRW Wheat … ’s
U.S. Soybean & Cotton Stocks…..
• Soybean: “Large” …