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October 21, 2020
2020 K-State Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
his Ph.D. in Agricultural Economics from Texas A&M University … Kansas State University Ag. Economics faculty in 1979 and recently …
January 24, 2022
Grain Marketing Presentations
U.S. Government &/or FED policies that impact U.S. economy & commodities
o Economic unrest with U.S. fall elections & domestic economic uncertainty
2022 Soybean Markets – …
January 25, 2022
Grain Marketing Presentations
U.S. Government &/or FED policies that impact U.S. economy & commodities
o Economic unrest with U.S. fall elections & domestic economic uncertainty
2022 Soybean Markets – …
February 8, 2022
Grain Marketing Presentations
U.S. Government &/or FED policies that impact U.S. economy & commodities
o Economic unrest with U.S. fall elections & domestic economic uncertainty
2022 Soybean Markets – …
August 1, 2022
General Sessions
GDP Percent Change from Preceding Quarter
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street Journal (WSJ) July 2022 Forecast Survey (Average)
WSJForecast(July)
After snapping back from the COVID‐19 Pandemic, the U.S. economy’s pace of growth has slowed and even contracted.
So, are we in a recession?
3
A leading indicator of the U.S. entering a recession tends to be an inverted yield curve.
Yield
(%)
Maturity
Normal Yield Curve
3 mo …
August 1, 2022
2022 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
GDP Percent Change from Preceding Quarter
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street Journal (WSJ) July 2022 Forecast Survey (Average)
WSJForecast(July)
After snapping back from the COVID‐19 Pandemic, the U.S. economy’s pace of growth has slowed and even contracted.
So, are we in a recession?
3
A leading indicator of the U.S. entering a recession tends to be an inverted yield curve.
Yield
(%)
Maturity
Normal Yield Curve
3 mo …
October 1, 2022
2022 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
Real GDP Percent Change from Preceding Quarter
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street Journal (WSJ) July 2022 Forecast Survey (Average)
WSJForecast(Oct)
After snapping back from the COVID‐19 Pandemic, the U.S. economy’s pace of growth has slowed and even contracted.
A leading indicator of the U.S. entering a recession tends to be an inverted yield curve.
Yield
(%)
Maturity
Normal Yield Curve
3 mo …
October 1, 2023
2023 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
Herd
Heifer Slaughter has remained near 2022 levels
Decreasing?
US Beef Cow Herd
Conflicting Market signals
Weather, hay, and forage conditions still make cow‐calf operations a risky venture
Calf prices and cow‐calf projected returns are strong
When it makes economic sense to divert very valuable heifers into the beef cow herd, expansion will start
US Beef Cow Herd
• …
September 15, 2011
Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
Tonsor
Department of Agricultural Economics
Kansas State University
Central … 2011
1
www.agmanager.info
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The U.S. economic recovery is anemic.
• … quarter
WSJ
Forecast
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street …
September 1, 2005
LRP Insurance
MF-2706 Livestock Marketing
Economics
Kansas State University … Department of Agricultural Economics
James Mintert
Professor … Department of Agricultural Economics
G. Art Barnaby, Jr
Professor …