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August 1, 2017
Breakout Sessions
Department of Agricultural
Economics at Kansas State University … Agribusiness Management. Her PhD in
Economics is from North Carolina State … mtaylor@ksu.edu
Current Economic Conditions
Returns to Farming
Source: KFMA Enterprise Reports (http://www.agmanager.info/kfma)
Returns to Farming
Source: KFMA Enterprise Reports (http://www.agmanager.info/kfma)
Returns to Farming
Source: KFMA Enterprise Reports (http://www.agmanager.info/kfma)
‐150
‐100
‐50
0
50
100
150
Retu
rns o
ver T
otal
Cos
ts ($
/ac)
NC KFMA Enterprise Analysis
Wheat …
December 19, 2017
Farming for the Future Presentations
… ey (Average)
WSJ
Forecast
(Nov.)
The economic recovery appears to be finding its footing and
stabilizing above 2% annualized growth.
2
The labor market has improved.
U.S. Unemployment RatePercent
Source … Index
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Jan
‐78
Jan
‐81
Jan
‐84
Jan
‐87
Jan
‐90
Jan
‐93
Jan
‐96
Jan
‐99
Jan
‐02
Jan
‐05
Jan
‐08
Jan
‐11
Jan
‐14
Jan
‐17
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan
‐78
Jan
‐81
Jan
‐84
Jan
‐87
Jan
‐90
Jan
‐93
Jan
‐96
Jan
‐99
Jan
‐02
Jan
‐05
Jan
‐08
Jan
‐11
Jan
‐14
Jan
‐17
Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index
Percent change from previous year
Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Today’s inflation is well below 1970s levels…
‐2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Jan
‐71
Jan
‐73
Jan
‐75
Jan
‐77
Jan
‐79
Jan
‐81
Jan
‐83
Jan
‐85
Jan
‐87
Jan
‐89
Jan
‐91
Jan
‐93
Jan
‐95
Jan
‐97
Jan
‐99
Jan
‐01
Jan
‐03
Jan
‐05
Jan
‐07
Jan
‐09
Jan
‐11
Jan
‐13
Jan
‐15
Jan
‐17
PCE Price Index (Headline)
PCE Price Index Excluding Food and Energy (Core)
3
…and inflation expectations are low and
continue to remain below the “2% target.”
• …
August 1, 2019
Breakout Sessions
Indicator of long‐run profitability in ag sector and some other factors
Wider economic factors◦ Interest rates and access to credit◦ … Strength of the dollar and trade
Current Economic Conditions
Returns to Farming
Source: KFMA Enterprise Reports (http://www.agmanager.info/kfma)
Net Farm and Ranch Income
$(20,000)
$30,000
$80,000
$130,000
$180,000
Retu
rns o
ver T
otal
Cos
ts
Net Farm Income Per Operator
Dryland Crop …
October 1, 2019
2019 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
Representative
“When politics and economics collideeconomics lose.”
. . . . Professor … Domestic subsidies & excess, non‐economic capacity;
Delays in GMO product approvals; costing the U.S. about $7 billion over the past five years (CropLife International);
…
April 4, 2020
KFMA Research
still due April 15.
2020 Economic Impact Payments
Theeconomic impact payments established … Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act: Payroll …
November 16, 2020
Monthly Meat Demand Monitor (Prior Years)
in SAS to identify socio-economic and other respondent characteristics … Department of Agricultural Economics
Glynn Tonsor, Professor … Department of Agricultural Economics
Glynn Tonsor, Professor …
September 20, 2021
Fed Cattle Pricing
important to consider the economic incentives
which have driven … packers and demonstrate how economic incentives
have played a … consistent with rational economic and risk management behavior …
March 11, 2022
Risk and Profit Online Mini-Conference Presentations
Importantly, diversity of portfolios has developed
https://agmanager.info/livestock‐meat/marketing‐extension‐bulletins/trade‐and‐demand/concentration‐us‐red‐meat‐exports
Consider Evolution of U.S. Meat Exports
Meanwhile, economic importance of beef trade continues to grow
https://www.agmanager.info/livestock‐meat/meat‐demand/monthly‐export‐meat‐demand‐indices‐usdabls‐data
Export Beef Demand Strength – …
August 1, 2022
Breakout Sessions
Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
Data source … misunderstanding of the true economic relation of agriculture to … Third-party agreement with USDA Economic Research Service (ERS)
• …
August 1, 2022
Breakout Sessions
Unexpected events disrupted supply chains and created economic,
environmental, and social uncertainty in beef industry
• … PPI for farm products series WPU01. https://data.bls.gov/cgi‐bin/srgate.
• Economic Research Service (ERS). 2020. Farmland Value – … …