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February 11, 2022
“The future, predict we cannot.” Yoda
Price Analysis and Forecasting
K‐State Dept. of Agricultural Economics
K‐State Dept. of Agricultural Economics
• … Oakland A’s general manager
• Determined “prices” for things not generally considered “priceable”
– … In “Moneyball”, market inefficiencies existed: high‐priced players did not have som …
July 18, 2012
Energy
1
Putting Price Volatility in Perspective … 2
Biofuel Mandates Affect Corn Price Volatility ..................................................................................................................3
Corn … Production Increased Corn Use and Prices ..........................................................................5
Ethanol …
July 18, 2012
Cash Prices & Marketing Strategies
1
Putting Price Volatility in Perspective … 2
Biofuel Mandates Affect Corn Price Volatility ..................................................................................................................3
Corn … Production Increased Corn Use and Prices ..........................................................................5
Ethanol …
May 1, 2014
2014
LMIC Beef Production and Price Quarterly Forecasts (4/11/14)
Sources … Slaughter - USDA/NASS; Steer Prices - USDA/AMS Livestock Market … 3.0
LMIC Beef Production and Price Quarterly Forecasts (4/11/14)
Sources …
September 11, 2014
Combined:
– “Historic” price levels, excitement, & uncertainty…
C-P-66
09/02/14
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
1986 … Cwt.
MED. & LRG. #1 STEER CALF PRICES
400-500 Pounds, Southern … Cwt.
MED. & LRG. #1 FEEDER STEER PRICES
700-800 Pounds, Southern …
August 20, 2012
Sector
• Strong calf price pullback
– National vs … USDA-NASS
SLAUGHTER COW PRICES
Southern Plains, 85-90% Lean … amp; LRG. #1 STEER CALF PRICES
400-500 Pounds, Southern …
January 9, 2017
Grain Marketing Presentations
grain trade & World grain prices
3) Market Outlook for Corn … supplies are limiting grain prices
2) Wheatprices in Kansas are below the Marketing … Feedgrain Market Prospects:
Low Prices “helping” Use, but Large …
December 1, 2012
Beef Cattle
activity.
A purchase price of $146.26/cwt was used for … in
the feed lot. A sale price of $128/cwt was used for … lbs) 832 832 832
Purchase Price ($/cwt) 146.26 146.26 146.26
Sale …
April 17, 2018
Land Use Value Research
KIPI), crop mix,
yields, prices, landlord’s share of crop … using the KIPI system.
PRICES
NASS collects the average … collects the average monthly price paid to farmers for wheat …
October 1, 2018
2018 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
crop
Wheat costs using 2018 input prices
* Input costs do not include … NT RT RT RT CT CT CTRate Price Total RatePrice Total RatePrice TotalSeed 50 0.20 10.00 50 …