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Breakout Sessions
analysis of futures market price valuation and
market information … profit due to underlying asset price changes
as opposed to profit … commodities
and aid in the price discovery process.
1
E …
March 2, 2011
Low
24%
0%
76%1. Current prices are
too high given
fundamentals
2 … fundamentals
2. Current prices are
appropriate given
fundamentals
3 … fundamentals
3. Current prices are
too low given
fundamentals
What …
January 11, 2018
Farming for the Future Presentations, Grain Marketing Presentations
Stocks continue to limit Wheat Price$’s **
• “Moderate” … emerged***
U.S. Dollar Index & Cash Prices
Monthly Chart: January 1973 … 3.27
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
Pric
e $/
bu
Futures Low Price$ High …
January 1, 2014
following year valued at the price of commercial
fertilizer … feed costs. The break-
even price needed to cover all costs … in corn and soybean meal prices. The expected
break-even …
September 1, 2006
Beef Cattle
acre 41.0 21.0 82.0 102.0 92.0 23.0 --- ---
B. Price per unit $4.00 $5.75 $2.20 $2.25 $2.25 $5.75 --- ---
C … etc) 90 148.047 12 24 24 210
Seed price, $/unit $0.08 $0.20 $1.00 $1.65 $1.25 $0.16
Fertilizer:
82-0-0 0 0 0 73 73 0 $0.25 /lb
N … pounds, seeds, etc.)
Enter the price per unit for seed -- make …
Breakout Sessions
and livestock markets and price risk management strategies … harvest time corn futures price outcomes. While working as … analysis, bioenergy
impacts and price-income risk management strategies …
January 18, 2012
Leasing Papers
and Presentations
Projected Pasture Rental Rates for 2012
Kevin C. Dhuyvetter
Department of Agricultural Economics, Kansas State University
January 2012
It’s that time of year when livestock producers and landowners look to warming
weather and grass turning green and thus the need to negotiate pasture rental rates for the
upcoming grazing season. Often the starting point in negotiations is what was charged last year
and then a determination is made as to whether or not that value should be changed for the
current year. A valuable source of information historically available to look at the previous year
was the average rental rates reported in the annual Bluestem Pasture Release published by the
Kansas Department of Agriculture Statistics Division (Kansas Ag Statistics) (historical reports are
available at
www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/Kansas/Publications/Economics_and_Misc/Bluestem/).
This survey collected data on rental rates in the Flint Hills of Kansas for various types of cattle
and stocking programs (i.e., different weights of stocker cattle for both season long and early
intensive and spring‐ and fall‐calving cow herds). Unfortunately, due to budget constraints this
survey was discontinued after 2009 and thus producers and landowners who have relied upon
that information in the past need to find an alternative source of information.
One alternative source of information is the USDA NASS survey of cash rental rates at
the county level. This information for Kansas is summarized in 2011 Kansas County‐Level Land
Values and Cash Rents available at www.agmanager.info/farmmgt/land/lease/. The
disadvantage of this information is that rental rates are reported only as dollars per acre
without any supporting information pertaining to stocking rates. Without knowing anything
about stocking rate, information on pasture rental rates per acre has limited value when setting
rates for specific tracts of land.
Many factors impact the rental rate for any particular tract of land (e.g., forage quality,
stocking rate, size of pasture, quality of fence, water availability, landowner/tenant
relationship), however, an examination of historical data indicates there are three factors that
explain much of the variability in average rental rates over time. First, rates trend up over time
and thus are expected to increase from year‐to‐year, all else equal. Second, rates are positively
related to cattle prices, i.e., rental rates tend to increase more when cattle prices are high
compared to wh …
February 22, 2012
2012 elections
4. Commodity price
volatility
5. Global economics … 3
33%
17%
50%
1. Output prices
2. Cost of production
3 … 3
37%
32%32%
1. Current prices will be
exceeded by further …
February 14, 2018
Grain Marketing Presentations
• Soybeans
• Cattle Prices
2) 2018 Grain Marketing … Dollar Index & Cash Corn Prices
Monthly Chart: January 1973 … Dollar Index & Cash Soybean Prices
Monthly Chart: January 1973 …
April 17, 2018
Land Use Value Research
KS_SRPG), the crop mix, yields, prices,
landlord’s share of crops … the KS_SRPG system.
PRICES
NASS collects the average … collects the average monthly price paid to farmers for wheat …