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August 1, 2025
Breakout Sessions
and 22nd, 2025
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21
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35
2008
:Q3
2009
:Q1
2009
:Q3
2010
:Q1
2010
:Q3
2011
:Q1
2011
:Q3
2012
:Q12012
:Q3
2013
:Q1
2013
:Q3
2014
:Q1
2014
:Q3
2015
:Q1
2015
:Q3
2016
:Q1
2016
:Q3
2017
:Q1
2017
:Q3
2018
:Q1
2018
:Q3
2019
:Q1
2019
:Q3
2020
:Q1
2020
:Q3
2021
:Q1
2021
:Q3
2022
:Q1
2022
:Q3
2023
:Q1
2023
:Q3
2024
:Q1
2024
:Q3
2025
:Q1
2025
:Q3
2026
:Q1
Real GDP Percent Change from Preceding Quarter
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street Journal (WSJ) April 2025 Forecast Survey (Average)
WSJForecast(Apr)
U.S. economic growth shot up to 3% in 2025 Q2…
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
…but the growth was driven by a sharp reduction in imports.
‐6.0%
‐4.0%
‐2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
‐6.0%
‐4.0%
‐2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Q2 …
January 15, 2013
Overview:
Cow-Calf Sector
• 2012 was a historical year for … Returns over cash costs
– 2012 (2013) estimates fell over … http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/budgets/production/beef/Cow-
calf_EnterpriseAnalysis(Nov2012).pdf
3
As of: 1/14/13’
http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/graphs/cattle/prices/default.asp
ESTIMATED …
General Sessions
marketing and price analysis, commodity market efficiency, and speculation … efficiency, and speculation in
commodity markets is widely-cited by … among market
participants, policy-makers, and the media. He …
October 2, 2020
Ag Law Issues
persons planting agricultural
commodities for harvest on converted … production of an
agricultural commodity without further application … for producing agricultural commodities on converted wetland
if …
February 5, 2025
Recent Videos
Professor
Overview
• The Ad Hoc Era of Farm Policy
• Managing for uncertain … Program, recent
Mechanisms
• Commodity Credit Corporation
• Funding … https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R44606/5
Farm Policy Eras
Supply Management Era
Decoupling
Risk …
October 1, 2023
2023 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
2008 Farm Bill was previous to this (extended after expiration in 2012)
• The real “deadline” is Dec. 31st, where farm programs revert to permanent law (1938 & 1949)– … 2023 Baseline(FY2024‐2033)
($ billions) ($ billions)
Commodities $61.4 $69
Crop Insurance … ProgramsNutrition
Provided by Brad Lubbin, Policy Specialist, University of Nebraska‐Lincoln
What is the Thrifty Food Plan?
• …
October 10, 2024
Kansas Landowners Conference
increases in land value
• High commodity prices + gov. payments during … 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 … 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 …
March 25, 2015
Commodity Program Papers
that are used in the FSA commodity program. The OSU-KSU decision … ARC-CO.
Remember the commodity title uses the NASS MYA price … had good reasons for your commodity program selection decision …
August 1, 2022
2022 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
Flinchbaugh Agricultural Policy Chair and Associate Professor … paid in 2018-20 for
many policies at 90-95%
coverage level
Comparison … only
Urea
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JC*1
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/agriculture/fertilizer/urea-granular-fob-us-gulf.html
DAP
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/agriculture/fertilizer/dap-fob-nola.html
https://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/?commodity=dap-fertilizer
Diesel
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-26/u-s-diesel-futures-settle-at-record-high-as-shortage-deepens
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/refined-products/heating-oil.quotes.html
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-26/u-s-diesel-futures-settle-at-record-high-as-shortage-deepens
Interest …
December 28, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
c U.S. ethanol production and livestock feeding, 3) at least
moderate strength in U.S. corn exports – driven partly by a poor harvest and lack of exportable supplies in
Brazil in 2016 as well as other World corn market factors, and 4) the always present possibility of broader U.S.
and Foreign economic and/or financial system disruptions impacting grain, energy, and other commodity
markets in 2017.
Fo …