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January 14, 2016
Overview
Glynn Tonsor
Dept. of Ag. Economics
Kansas State … Plains, Weekly
Avg. 2009-13 2014 2015
Data Source: USDA-AMS … Poor, Weekly
Avg. 2009-13 2014 2015
Data Source: USDA-NASS …
March 24, 2021
COSTS
Total Cash Cost Plus Pasture Rent, Annual
Data Source: USDA & LMIC, Compiled by LMIC
Livestock Marketing Information Center
02/10/21
Profit driven by
more than just
sales prices….
Agricultural … 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Mil. Head$ Per Cow
COW …
February 20, 2020
Outlook
Glynn T. Tonsor
Dept. of Ag. Economics,
Kansas State … information:
https://www.asi.k-state.edu/events/stocker-
conference.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DpTyq3SuZn
8&list=PLst4YxRiGX9RSG0UO4WcavXCkwJmQz7Iw
&index=2&t=0s
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
0 …
February 21, 2020
Outlook
Glynn T. Tonsor
Dept. of Ag. Economics,
Kansas State … information:
https://www.asi.k-state.edu/events/stocker-
conference.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DpTyq3SuZn
8&list=PLst4YxRiGX9RSG0UO4WcavXCkwJmQz7Iw
&index=2&t=0s
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
0 …
August 1, 2021
General Sessions
OUTLOOK
https://www.agmanager.info/events/risk‐and‐profit‐conference
Quarterly Forecasts … 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Mil. Head$ Per Cow
COW … 2021
Data Source: USDA‐AMS
Livestock Marketing Information Center
Historical and Projected Kansas Feedlot Net Returns (as of 8/12/21’) (http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/outlook/newsletters/FinishingReturns/default.asp)
Representative Barometer …
2021 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
OUTLOOK
https://www.agmanager.info/events/risk‐and‐profit‐conference
Quarterly Forecasts … 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Mil. Head$ Per Cow
COW … 2021
Data Source: USDA‐AMS
Livestock Marketing Information Center
Historical and Projected Kansas Feedlot Net Returns (as of 8/12/21’) (http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/outlook/newsletters/FinishingReturns/default.asp)
Representative Barometer …
March 1, 2013
http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/budgets/production/default.asp#Beef Cattle
Economic … http://www.beefbasis.com/ForecastingTools/ValueofGain/tabid/1132/Default.aspx
Economic Outlook … http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/outlook/newsletters/FinishingReturns/default.asp
• Excess capacity concerns …
October 7, 2011
cow herd will expand?
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (or
later)
Never
9%
13 … 13%
16%
28%
22%
1. 2013
2. 2014
3. 2015
4. 2016
5 … retention…
Cow-calf profitability drivers…
• Analysis …