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March 20, 2024
OUTLOOK
http://www.agmanager.info/about
/contributors/individual/tonsor.asp
Take-Home Summary
Supply … Tool
https://www.agmanager.info/livestock-meat/production-
economics/ksu-beef-replacement
Base/Default Case
• Annual Cash Cow … Center 11/30/23
If Calf Crop = 85% of Revenue,
6cwt Calf …
January 12, 2012
Source: USDA-AMS
CALF CROP
July 1 Estimates, U.S., Annual
35
37
39
41
43
45
1981 … http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/budgets/production/default.asp)
$1,453
$1,316
$1,179 … 5.4% from 2010
– Calf Crop: -1.0%???
• Jan. 2011 …
January 11, 2012
Source: USDA-AMS
CALF CROP
July 1 Estimates, U.S., Annual
35
37
39
41
43
45
1981 … http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/budgets/production/default.asp)
$1,453
$1,316
$1,179 … 5.4% from 2010
– Calf Crop: -1.0%???
• Jan. 2011 …
January 10, 2012
Source: USDA-AMS
CALF CROP
July 1 Estimates, U.S., Annual
35
37
39
41
43
45
1981 … http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/budgets/production/default.asp)
$1,453
$1,316
$1,179 … 5.4% from 2010
– Calf Crop: -1.0%???
• Jan. 2011 …
December 6, 2011
Source: USDA-AMS
CALF CROP
July 1 Estimates, U.S., Annual
35
37
39
41
43
45
1981 … http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/budgets/production/default.asp)
$1,453
$1,316
$1,179 … costs, opportunities to row crop, etc. may
increasingly …
October 7, 2011
m
ill
io
ns
)
US Annual Calf Crop (2011 is July 1 estimate)
Data … Tool
(http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/budgets/production/default.asp)
How much can I pay for … costs, opportunities to row crop, etc. may
increasingly …
January 1, 2013
Land Leasing
Forms
what type of
pastures and crops are included? (Include
legal … with pasture, less
so for crop ground and less yet for livestock … manages them, keeps the calf crop,
and returns the cows to …
February 21, 2012
Analysis by LMIC
CALF CROP
U.S., Annual
30
35
40
45
50
55
1951 … http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/budgets/production/default.asp)
Scenario1: FARPI Adjusted …
February 14, 2012
Source: USDA-AMS
CALF CROP
U.S., Annual
30
35
40
45
50
55
1951 … http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/budgets/production/default.asp)
Scenario1: FARPI Adjusted …
May 1, 2014
http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/outlook/newsletters/FinishingReturns/default.asp)
Representative Barometer … change
62http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/Beef%20Demand/default.asp
Q1.2014: Per Capita Consumption … rental rate
• Calculate crop share revenues based on long-term …