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   Home / Crops / Insurance / Risk Management

 

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer: This web page is designed to aid farmers with their marketing and risk management decisions. The risk of loss in trading futures, options, forward contracts, and hedge-to-arrive can be substantial and no warranty is given or implied by the author or any other party. Each farmer must consider whether such marketing strategies are appropriate for his or her situation. This web page does not represent the views of Kansas State University. 

Estimated revenue insurance Portland Harvest Price for Wheat in ID, NV, OR, UT, and WA and for Spring Wheat States with Sales Closing 3/15
                 
  Daily Daily Daily   Daily Daily Daily  
  Closing Closing Closing   Closing Closing Closing  
  Price Price Price   Price Price Price  
    Portland CBOT MGE   Portland CBOT MGE  
  Sep Sep 05 Sep 05   Sep Sep 05 Sep 05  
Date Cash Wheat Wheat Date Cash Wheat Wheat  
                 
08/01/05 3.6100 3.3050 3.5000 08/16/05 3.5300 3.1025 3.3525  
08/02/05 3.6100 3.3200 3.5300 08/17/05 3.5250 3.1425 3.3825  
08/03/05 3.6100 3.2600 3.5000 08/18/05 3.5200 3.2075 3.4250  
08/04/05 3.6150 3.2500 3.5025 08/19/05 3.5100 3.2525 3.4700  
08/05/05 3.6050 3.2000 3.4550 08/22/05 3.5250 3.2300 3.4525  
08/08/05 3.5950 3.2225 3.4425 08/23/05 3.5150 3.1725 3.5000  
08/09/05 3.5800 3.1950 3.3725 08/24/05 3.4800 3.1400 3.5400  
08/10/05 3.5750 3.2350 3.3625 08/25/05 3.4700 3.1575 3.4700  
08/11/05 3.5850 3.2625 3.3950 08/26/05 3.4600 3.1225 3.5700  
08/12/05 3.5800 3.2125 3.3900 08/29/05 3.4450 3.1050 3.5600  
08/15/05 3.5750 3.1575 3.3975 08/30/05 3.4050 3.0725 3.5700  
        08/31/05 3.3750 3.0150 3.5150  
                 
Avg Harvest Portland Wheat Chicago Wheat Spring Wheat          
 Price $3.535 $3.189 $3.463          
Plant Price $4.01   $3.35          
Price Change ($0.48)   $0.11          
% change (-11.85%)   3.37%          
Increase in Trigger Yield1 113.4%   100.0%          
                 
1 In years when prices fall, it requires a smaller yield loss to trigger revenue insurance claims. For example the trigger yield for a Wheat grower with a 70.4 bushel APH times 70% coverage is 50 bushels based on the planting price of $4.01.  Based on today's lower harvest price this same Wheat grower will have a claim if yields are below 56.7 bushels or 113.4% of the minimum trigger yield of 50 bushels.  Wheat growers may calculate their trigger yield by multiplying 113.4% times their APH times the percent insurance coverage they selected.  Any yield below this level will trigger revenue insurance claims.  This does not apply to MPCI-APH.
                 
An Example Oregon Wheat Claim.  A Oregon Wheat grower with a 71.4 bushels APH X 70% coverage X higher of harvest, plant price of $4.01 would have had a revenue guarantee of $200.50.  If this grower produced 20 bushels, then based on today's price of $3.54 the revenue to count would be $70.80 and the indemnity payment would be the difference between the revenue to count and the revenue guarantee for gross indemnity payment of $129.70 (before premium deduction).
 
 
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